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The Case for Active Exposure in US Small Caps

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Summary

Savana sets out the case for considering active US small-cap exposure alongside the large-company indices commonly used by Australian investors. The article examines historical returns, earnings growth and the role of smaller companies in the domestic US economy. It also discusses diversification as major US indices become more concentrated in a small group of technology businesses. The S&P Small Cap 600’s profitability requirements are contrasted with broader small-cap benchmarks, helping explain why different indices can represent different opportunity sets.

Savana then connects the characteristics of the market with its own algorithmic approach to identifying undervalued companies through the SVNP fund. The discussion includes comparisons with other ETF exposures and recognises the greater economic sensitivity and volatility that can accompany smaller companies. Historical charts and dated market observations support the argument; the article presents an investment case to evaluate rather than a guarantee of superior future returns from a particular fund.

The Case for Active Exposure in US Small Caps

While most Australian investors gain US equity exposure through large-cap indices such as the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100, we believe that this approach overlooks one of the most dynamic and under-appreciated segments in global markets.

Operating closer to the domestic US economy and typically exhibiting more dynamic growth characteristics, US Small Caps have historically delivered strong long-term outperformance while offering meaningful portfolio diversification benefits relative to large caps.

The Savana US Small Caps Active ETF (ASX: SVNP) was established to broaden access to US Small Caps for Australian investors, combining targeted exposure with an active, algorithm-driven stock selection process designed to capitalise on the inefficiencies inherent in small-cap markets.

SVNP is benchmarked against the S&P Small Cap 600, a market capitalisation-weighted index of US companies with market caps between $1.2 billion and $8 billion, selected in part on demonstrated profitability - a quality screen that distinguishes it from broader small-cap benchmarks like the Russell 2000.

Here’s a closer look at why US Small Caps make a compelling case for inclusion in any well-diversified equity portfolio.

Long-Run Outperformance of US Small Caps

While recent market narratives have focused on large-cap performance, a longer-term perspective demonstrates that US Small Caps have in fact generated the most compelling long-term returns across market cycles. Over the last 25 years, the S&P Small Cap 600 has returned 9.27% per annum, exceeding the S&P 500 (8.83% p.a.), the ASX 200 (8.48% p.a.) and other major indices.1

Total Return Performance of Major Indices Over Time (rebased to 100)

Major equity-index total returns rebased to 100, 2000–2025. The S&P SmallCap 600 finishes highest among the five displayed indices, with substantial drawdowns along the way.

Source: S&P Global, Savana. Gross total return index performance,  based on local currency,  between 1 January 2001 to 31 December 2025.

This 25-year performance profile is consistent with the well-established empirical characteristics of small-cap equities. By their nature, smaller companies tend to exhibit greater sensitivity to economic cycles. This was evident during the Global Financial Crisis, where the S&P Small Cap 600 lagged the S&P 500 from 2006 to 2009, before materially outperforming throughout the ultra-low-interest rate environment that defined much of the 2010–2020 period. This heightened sensitivity translates into higher volatility, with small caps typically exhibiting a greater standard deviation of returns and, in turn, elevating the overall risk-return profile of a portfolio.

However, small caps are not just about taking on more market risk. Their return premium is supported by a range of structural drivers inherent to small caps - including earlier-stage expansion opportunities and a deeper pipeline of corporate catalysts such as M&A activity and operational turnarounds - which broaden the opportunity set for outsized returns. These attributes are reflected in stronger underlying earnings dynamics over time, with the S&P Small Cap 600 delivering average three-year normalised net income growth of 8.08% over the past two decades, compared to 5.87% for the S&P 500.

Three-Year Normalised Net Income Growth: S&P Small Cap 600 versus S&P 500

Three-year normalised net-income growth comparison. The S&P SmallCap 600 has higher growth than the S&P 500 in this historical analysis.

Source: S&P Global, Savana. Average three-year normalised net income growth between 31 December 2006 to 31 December 2025.

Improving Diversification in US Equities

While the S&P 500 has benefitted from a historic surge in mega-cap technology stocks since 2020, such narrow leadership has driven a significant concentration in the composition of the index. As of February 2026, the top 10 stocks, including NVIDIA, Microsoft, Apple, Alphabet and Meta, account for 36.4% of the index. This is approximately double the share of the top constituents in 2010. The shift has also led to a more concentrated sector profile, with Information Technology representing 32.4% of the index

By comparison, the S&P Small Cap 600 exhibits far broader stock-level participation, with the top 10 companies representing just 5.8%, alongside a more balanced distribution of sector exposures.

Index Breakdown by Sector: S&P Small Cap 600 versus S&P 500

Sector weights of the S&P 500 and S&P SmallCap 600. The large-cap index has greater information-technology exposure; small caps have more weight in several other sectors, including financials and industrials.

Source: S&P Global, Savana. Index breakdown by sector, measured by total market capitalization.

Structural Inefficiency in Small Companies

Perhaps the most compelling feature of the US small-cap universe is that it remains structurally inefficient.

Unlike large-cap stocks - which are intensively covered by analysts, institutions, and passive flows - small caps operate in a much thinner information environment. Many companies receive limited sell-side coverage, and institutional ownership is often fragmented. This creates the conditions for persistent mispricing, which is exactly what Savana’s algorithmic valuation engine is built to exploit.

Our algorithm scores every company across the US listed equity universe on a continuous scale, where values below 0.5 indicate undervaluation, above 0.5 indicate overvaluation, and 0.5 represents fair value.

Consistently, this process reveals that the vast majority of undervalued opportunities are in smaller companies, whereas large and mega-cap stocks tend to cluster closely around fair value.

We believe Savana’s approach works best in exactly this environment - a high-conviction, algorithmically-driven portfolio targeting the segment where mispricing is most persistent.

US Company Valuations (X-Axis) v Market Capitalisation (Y-Axis)

US company market capitalisation versus Savana valuation score. The highlighted opportunity area focuses on smaller companies assessed as undervalued.

Source: Savana. Savana’s valuation of NYSE and Nasdaq listed companies with minimum market capitalisations between US$500m and US$500bn as of 28 February 2026. Valuations represent the opinion of Savana’s algorithmic process and do not represent definitive measures of intrinsic value.

Accessing US Small Caps for Australian Investors

Despite the benefits of the US Small Cap segment, dedicated access for Australian investors remains limited. While there are many global small cap funds and ETFs, these dilute - rather than concentrate - the opportunity. In our view, the investment case is strongest when US Small Caps are accessed directly.

The only ASX-listed ETFs that provide direct exposure are:

1. iShares Core S&P Small-Cap ETF (ASX: IJR) – passive ETF tracking the S&P Small Cap 600 index.

2. Global X Russell 2000 ETF (ASX: RSSL) – passive ETF tracking the Russell 2000 index.

3. Savana US Small Caps Active ETF (ASX: SVNP) - active ETF aiming to outperform the S&P Small Cap 600 index.

Of these, SVNP is the only strategy delivering an active approach. This unlocks the broad advantages of US Small Cap investing – performance and diversification – while also exploiting the structural inefficiencies that persist within the segment. This is evidenced by the fact that SVNP maintains a high 0.91 correlation to the S&P Small Cap 600 (even with a high-conviction portfolio of 30-50 stocks) yet has still delivered 11.34% per annum of outperformance.  

Growth of A$10k Over Time: SVNP vs S&P Small Cap 600 v Russell 2000

Growth of A$10,000 in SVNP, the S&P SmallCap 600 and Russell 2000 total-return AUD indices from inception to early 2026. SVNP finishes above both benchmarks in the illustrated period.
Annualised returns since inception in the article's historical comparison: SVNP 10.30%, S&P SmallCap 600 total-return AUD index -1.03%, and Russell 2000 total-return AUD index 2.49%.

Source: Savana, S&P Global. Performance between inception on 6 November 2024 to 28 February 2026. SVNP returns are after fees and costs. Past performance is not indicative of future performance.

The Bottom Line

US Small Caps offer a unique combination of long-term return potential, diversification benefits, and structural inefficiencies. The Savana US Small Caps Active ETF (ASX: SVNP) is designed to harness this opportunity through a disciplined, fully digital investment process built for modern markets. In our view, the combination of strong underlying index dynamics with precision-driven active management positions SVNP as a compelling opportunity for Australian investors to access the full potential of US Small Caps.

Footnotes

1 Source: S&P Global, Savana. Gross total return index performance,  based on local currency,  between 1 January 2001 to 31 December 2025.

ASX:SVNP
Savana US Small Caps Active ETF
+11.05% p.a.
Total Return Since Inception
+4.54% p.a.
Versus Benchmark

IMPORTANT INFORMATION
This material has been prepared by Savana Asset Management Pty Ltd (ABN 79 662 088 904) (Savana). Savana Active ETFs is a registered business name of Savana Asset Management Pty Ltd (ABN 79 662 088 904), holder of Australian Financial Services Licence (AFSL) No. 700458. The Savana US Small Caps Active ETF (ASX: SVNP) (ARSN 649 028 722) is issued by K2 Asset Management Limited (K2) ABN 95 085 445 094, AFS Licence No 244393, a wholly owned subsidiary of K2 Asset Management Holdings Limited (ABN 59 124 636 782). The information contained in this document is produced in good faith and does not constitute any representation or offer by K2, Savana or Fat Prophets.

This material is for information purposes only and has been prepared for both retail and wholesale investors. It is not an offer or a recommendation to invest. No representation is made as to future performance or volatility of the investment, and there is no guarantee that the investment objectives or strategy will be successful. Any forward-looking statements, opinions and estimates are based on assumptions and contingencies which are subject to change without notice. No representations or warranties, expressed or implied, are made as to the accuracy or completeness of the information contained in this document. In preparing this document, we have relied upon and assumed, without independent verification, the accuracy and completeness of all information available to Savana. Persons should rely solely upon their own investigations in respect of the subject matter discussed. To the maximum extent permitted by law, all liability in reliance on this document is expressly disclaimed.

This material may not be reproduced, distributed or published, in whole or in part, without the prior approval of Savana. There are risks associated with an investment in the Savana US Small Caps Active ETF (SVNP), including active management risk, market risk, currency risk, concentration risk, liquidity risk and model risk. Investment values may rise and fall, and past performance is not indicative of future performance. This material has not been prepared taking into account your objectives, financial situation or needs. An investment in SVNP should be considered as part of a broader portfolio, having regard to your individual objectives, financial situation and needs, including your tolerance for risk. Before making an investment decision, you should consider the Product Disclosure Statement (PDS) and Target Market Determination (TMD), available at www.savana.ai.

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